Although neither candidate can now take part in the election, attempts to do so show how deeply disillusion has spread. By proceeding, you are agreeing to our Terms and Conditions. It is a European state bordering three European Union and NATO members that has changed less than almost any other Soviet successor state. But Russia has other concerns too. Three factors are responsible. Lukashenko has largely averted this: no leader has consistently dealt with Putin more effectively. What will happen next? We appreciate well-informed comments and welcome your criticism and insight.
To stem losses, state-owned enterprises have shed labor. The authorities have also hounded journalists, revoking accreditations and deporting those without the proper papers. In June he appointed a new hard-line government of siloviki, warned against a Ukrainian-style Maidan and pointedly mentioned the 2005 massacre of several hundred civilians in Andijan, Uzbekistan. We hope you're enjoying Project Syndicate.
To receive email updates regarding this {entity_type}, please enter your email below. Please log in or register to continue. But there is no doubt that we, like so many other media organizations nowadays, are under growing strain. That could change if Russia is seen to try to thwart the popular will. His brand of welfare authoritarianism combined stability, full employment and high public investment to gain support with surveillance, persecution and suppression of opposition. The central figure is Svetlana Tikhanovskaya, the wife of a third major contender, the popular video blogger Sergei Tikhanovsky, who was also arrested and prevented from running. Second, this suppression has incited, not intimidated, Belarusian society. Thank you. But the social contract that kept Lukashenko in power for so long is now expiring. Cancel. The social contract that kept Lukashenko in power for so long is now expiring. For more than 25 years, Project Syndicate has been guided by a simple credo: All people deserve access to a broad range of views by the world's foremost leaders and thinkers on the issues, events, and forces shaping their lives. A democratic transition in an Eastern Slavic neighbor would be deeply unwelcome to Putin. Lukashenko’s instinct will be to crush them as before, this time with military as well as security forces if necessary. military personnel,economist,historian,politician,teacher, Alexander Lukashenko is a popular Belarus,Soviet Union military personnel who is most renowned for his military personnel,economist,historian,politician,teacher. What should the United States and EU do now? This would end Lukashenko’s long balancing act, leaving him more vulnerable than ever to a Russia already pressuring him to accept some form of vassal status. Across Eurasia, only Cambodia’s Hun Sen and Tajikistan’s Emomali Rakhmon have been in power longer than Lukashenko’s twenty-six years.
Russia kept Belarus’s unreformed economy afloat through energy subsidies and market access. He set up and ran the Minsk hi-tech park, a success story that exports software around the world. The election is neither free nor fair, and the result will be rigged. Across Eurasia, only Cambodia’s Hun Sen and Tajikistan’s Emomali Rakhmon have been in power longer than Lukashenko’s twenty-six years. It reined in repression, released all political prisoners and joined the EU’s Eastern Partnership. They marched straight down Independence Avenue to Yakub Kolas Square, where they spread from the sidewalks into the street itself, surrounding the police vehicles there. The opposition harbors no hostility towards Russia, and foreign policy plays no role in its demands. Although US President Donald Trump has little personal interest in human rights, democracy, or the rule of law, his administration has brought these values to the fore in its confrontation with China. But the women were not intimidated. First, Belarus faces a deepening economic crisis as chronic problems and debts of the state-led economy mount up. Please provide more details about your request. Seen as posing no threat, Svetlana was allowed to run in his stead—an extraordinary miscalculation by Lukashenko. I should be very happy to see Lukashenko go. Log in. In June, Babariko and his son were arrested and Belgazprombank taken over by the state, angering Russia’s giant gas company Gazprom, which owns half the shares. After posting your comment, you’ll have a ten-minute window to make any edits. There have been times when the West simultaneously sanctioned Belarus while disbursing International Monetary Funds, even as Russia subsidized Belarus while blocking key exports. Lukashenko has also periodically tilted at the European Union to show Russia that Belarus has other options. We use cookies to improve your experience on our website.
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